Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 12.801523 14.954481 17.303356 20.049044 23.162943 26.577013 30.595496
2025-06-15 9.549643 12.577098 16.221132 20.893543 26.684781 33.583628 42.375781
2025-06-22 7.477462 10.843927 15.223353 21.253312 29.242596 39.356745 53.003259
2025-06-29 5.849299 9.234739 13.946651 20.840099 30.496029 43.344433 61.495469
2025-07-06 4.561927 7.795684 12.585203 19.986856 30.879546 46.018377 68.269291
2025-07-13 4.094751 7.466239 12.717668 21.195493 34.165387 52.809658 81.057628
2025-07-20 3.681777 7.133828 12.767872 22.234273 37.233159 59.454181 94.038883
2025-07-27 3.259127 6.701107 12.578416 22.837831 39.640128 65.244570 106.101026
2025-08-03 2.829257 6.173300 12.144960 22.966004 41.265044 69.914335 116.726490
2025-08-10 2.387267 5.538322 11.428950 22.513545 41.867549 72.989669 125.040216
2025-08-17 2.002962 4.941939 10.691939 21.920247 42.143867 75.512249 132.574938
2025-08-24 1.683479 4.416360 10.008417 21.329337 42.339338 77.867901 139.919982
2025-08-31 1.338671 3.784216 9.066070 20.227384 41.682869 79.018300 145.835679
2025-09-07 1.215496 3.646212 9.123651 21.089709 44.721688 86.749823 163.363845
2025-09-14 1.068490 3.415058 8.945441 21.454393 46.858535 93.060049 178.880239
2025-09-21 0.891113 3.058158 8.425906 21.038145 47.440057 96.625179 189.841975
2025-09-28 0.718609 2.663997 7.746272 20.177945 47.039286 98.343378 197.608318
2025-10-05 0.680641 2.654730 7.993882 21.396520 50.946840 108.284875 220.679248
2025-10-12 0.636699 2.615787 8.159860 22.443773 54.578340 117.915069 243.676356
2025-10-19 0.577737 2.512091 8.140652 23.052229 57.325792 126.006838 264.240601
2025-10-26 0.507405 2.348746 7.933454 23.181439 59.043202 132.186991 281.534905
2025-11-02 0.427238 2.123255 7.512034 22.725313 59.421919 135.726982 293.985356
2025-11-09 0.355333 1.902388 7.060032 22.127192 59.414819 138.469494 305.017984